A wallet down $38M lifetime is 40x long Bitcoin, 0.9% from liquidation, with $94M of shorts stacked above
Scoring our last calls
These are the calls from our Nov 4 analysis, scored through 10:25 UTC today.
| Call | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin touches 75,000 before 79,265, by Friday's close | 79,265 came first. High of 81,177, low of 77,243. | ✗ |
| SOL stays between 88 and 96 through Friday | High of 98.16. | ✗ |
| ETH: no trade below 2,156 through Friday | Low of 2,276. | Running |
| HYPE: no trade below 75 before Nov 9 | Low of 82.54. | Running |
Two wrong, two running. We called Bitcoin down. It went up 3.9%.
Yesterday in one line
Democrats won both chambers of Congress. Bitcoin rose 3.93% to 80,478, ETH rose 6.57% to 2,424, SOL rose 2.96% to 95.57, and HYPE fell 1.53% to 83.78. $214.1M was liquidated: $76.5M of longs and $137.6M of shorts. Bitcoin alone was $123.4M, of which $93.8M was shorts.
Trump-linked trades went the other way. The TRUMP perp fell 20.1%. Trump Media closed down 24.54%, according to MarketScreener. On Hyperliquid, the Tesla, SpaceX and Nvidia perps fell 3.4%, 4.4% and 3.3%.
0x1f25: down $38.5M, and 40x long
0x1f25…f925 has lost $38.5M on Hyperliquid since it opened. Its account is down to $362K. It now holds a $17.1M 40x Bitcoin long from 80,506, with liquidation at 79,774. That's 0.9% below the price.
0x4b62: liquidated all day, then made $220K on Trump's coin
0x4b62…57ca had more Bitcoin shorts liquidated yesterday than any other wallet in our data: $29.3M, between 04:11 and 15:17 UTC.
At 16:30 UTC it shorted about $2.5M of the TRUMP perp at 1.40. By 02:25 UTC today it had taken about $220K after fees. It has since closed that trade and is back on Bitcoin: $7.6M short at 40x from 80,540, liquidation at 81,599. Lifetime it's still down about $794K.
Who made money
- 0x8742…8427 bought $19.5M of Bitcoin at 77,799 at 06:01 UTC and sold it at 80,611 at 16:40 UTC. Profit: $703K.
- 0x1d30…da39 added $6.25M at 76,000 and sold all 162 BTC at 80,982. Profit: $568K. It only trades Bitcoin. It has no position now and holds $1.3M in USDC.
Bitcoin: where they break
- Above: seven shorts worth $93.8M break between 81,478 and 82,744, all within 2.8% of the price. The largest is 0xc3ed…00dd: $40.2M on a $1.6M account.
- Below: 0x1f25's $17.1M at 79,774. After that, the next large line we see is 0xf081…e39e's $26.2M at 75,872.
ETH, HYPE, SOL
ETH (2,421): 0x020c…5872 is long $17.4M at 25x on a $540K account, with liquidation at 2,392, 1.2% below. Further down, 0xf081's $35.3M breaks at 2,153.
HYPE (82.73): 0x082e…ca88 still holds $114.0M from 38.68, up $60.6M, with liquidation at 74.70, about 10% below. Large trades were net sellers of $20.7M yesterday. Elysium's official launch is on Nov 9.
SOL (96.94): of the positions of $2M or more we track, longs total $61M at an average of 108.16 and shorts total $146M at an average of 95.15. The longs are mostly underwater. Few large lines sit near the price.
Our calls for today
Same rules: we call it today, score it after, right or wrong. Prices as of about 10:25 UTC.
Bitcoin (80,520): touches 82,000 before 79,500, by Sunday's close.
- Why: $93.8M of shorts break within 3% above, against one $17.1M long close below. Large trades were net buyers of $14.9M yesterday.
- Against: funding is about 11% a year, so longs are paying. The two winners above have already sold.
ETH (2,421): touches 2,392 before 2,520, by Saturday's close. That's 0x020c's line.
- Why: it's only 1.2% away, and shorts above are far off, at about 2,600.
- Against: ETH rose 6.6% yesterday, and if Bitcoin squeezes, ETH likely follows.
SOL (96.94): no daily close above 100 through Sunday.
- Why: large shorts are in control at an average of 95, and there's little forced buying nearby.
- Against: this is the same range we just got wrong.
Still running: ETH no trade below 2,156 through Friday, HYPE no trade below 75 before Nov 9.
Live liquidation maps: BTC · ETH · HYPE · SOL. See today's live bets on Signals. Tap 🔔 next to a wallet's name to get a Telegram alert when it moves.
Data: Hyperliquid on-chain trades, liquidations and positions, compiled by CryptoAnimon. "Yesterday" = Nov 4, 2026 (UTC). Positions and prices as of about 10:25 UTC on Nov 5. Large trades = taker trades of $100K or more, excluding market makers and liquidation backstops. Trump Media's close as reported by MarketScreener.
📣 Whale moves, liquidation alerts and our daily news — first on our Telegram channel.
Join the Telegram channelLicensed under CC BY 4.0: you are free to quote, republish and adapt this post — please credit "CryptoAnimon" and link to https://cryptoanimon.com/w/en/daily/2026-11-05-btc-38m-loser-40x-long.html.