The wallet that shorted the night Binance was hacked has cashed out, up $900K, and withdrew $6.4M; a 40x long sits 1.3% from liquidation
Scoring yesterday's calls
From publication at 04:00 UTC on Oct 31 to 02:40 UTC today.
| Call | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin: within 24 hours, 0x4b62's 76,157 before 0xb15b's 77,940 | Neither. Bitcoin stayed between 77,072 and 77,850 all day. | ✗ |
| HYPE (Oct 29 call): a new high (above 98.00) before 88, by Monday's close | 88 came first, at 06:20 UTC on Oct 31. No new high. | ✗ |
| ETH stays between 2,180 and 2,300 through Sunday | 2,235 to 2,274 so far. Still inside. | Open |
| Binance reopens withdrawals before 12:00 UTC Sunday | Binance says it has replaced about 90% of the stolen assets and is targeting today. Not announced as of writing. | Open |
| Intel perp: no trade at 70 or above before Monday's US close | High since then: 65.65. | Open |
| SOL: no daily close above 100 before Monday's close | Two daily closes: 95.40 and 95.37. | Open |
Two came due, both wrong. The Bitcoin call lost because Bitcoin barely moved: a 0.9% range all day.
Yesterday in one line
A quiet Saturday. Bitcoin rose 0.25% to 77,535, ETH rose 0.50% to 2,255, HYPE fell 2.26% to 87.93, and SOL fell 0.90% to 95.40. Only $8.4M was liquidated on Hyperliquid, against $215.4M the day before, and more than half of it was HYPE longs. Large trades were net sellers of $15.8M of Bitcoin and $14.8M of HYPE.
The wallet that shorted the Binance hack has cashed out
0x8add…7d2c is the short wallet we wrote about on Thursday, the one that woke up the night Binance was hacked. Its whole trade:
- Oct 29, 21:04 to 22:32 UTC: less than an hour after Binance's hot wallet was drained, it moved $5.5M in, in three transfers. First Bitcoin short at 21:41.
- At its largest: 40x short $48M of Bitcoin from 78,939, and short $49.4M of ETH from 2,271.
- Oct 31, 09:00 UTC: closed a small piece, $8.1M of Bitcoin and $9.5M of ETH.
- Nov 1, 01:00 to 02:00 UTC: closed the rest. $40.1M of Bitcoin around 77,681, $40.4M of ETH around 2,268.
- 01:53 to 02:13: withdrew $6.4M in four transfers. The account is empty.
Closed profit was $964K. After $75K of fees and $18K of funding received, it netted about $900K in 52 hours. The Bitcoin leg made $807K; ETH made only $157K, because ETH barely fell.
Binance withdrawals aren't open yet. This wallet took its money off Hyperliquid first.
0x4b62, day five: another flip
0x4b62…57ca, the 40x Bitcoin wallet we've followed all week:
- Oct 31, 22:00 UTC: closed a $17.3M Bitcoin long around 77,586 and a $4.55M ETH long, up $70K combined.
- Nov 1, 01:00 UTC: went straight back in. Now 40x long $24.2M of Bitcoin from 77,703, liquidation 76,694, 1.3% below.
$600K of capital holding $24.2M. A bigger position than last time, and a closer liquidation.
The Tesla whale sold its Bitcoin
0x30af…393e bought $25M of Bitcoin on Thursday. Around 03:00 UTC yesterday it sold all of it near 77,212, down $33K. It now holds a 10x ZEC long of $2.2M, and since last night it has been buying the oil perp in small pieces around 102.8.
A new short: 0xc3ed…00dd opened a 30x short of $15.8M of Bitcoin at 77,403 at 21:00 UTC yesterday. Liquidation 86,643.
Bitcoin: $40M of 40x longs within 2.3% below
Price 77,700. The closest positions are all 40x:
- Within 2.3% below: 0x4b62's $24.2M (76,694) and 0x95fe…f8fa's $15.6M (75,916). $39.8M in total.
- Within 2.4% above: 0xb15b…dbae's $2.9M (78,105) and 0x54c5…9558's $17.6M (79,548). $20.5M in total. 0xb15b was already partly liquidated once yesterday, $907K at 01:01 UTC.
Further out, the big longs opened above 80K are still holding and still down: 0xf081…e39e $75.8M, down $3.2M; 0x6046…b21d $52.1M, down $2.9M. The largest short, 0xfc27…9d9d at $127.1M, hasn't moved either. It's up $4.2M.
Binance: 90% replaced, withdrawals due today
According to Crypto Briefing, Binance says it has replaced about 90% of the stolen assets. The rest is mostly less liquid tokens it is buying back on the market and over the counter. It is targeting Nov 1 to reopen withdrawals, and expects proof of reserves around Nov 3. As of 02:40 UTC, it hadn't announced the reopening. On Hyperliquid, BNB traded between 698 and 709 all day and is 702 now.
ETH, HYPE, SOL
ETH (2,264): funding +11% annualized. The nearest long below is 0x020c…5872 at $5.7M, liquidation around 2,205. 0x77dd…e0e9 still holds a $69.4M long from 2,610, down $10.6M, liquidation 2,123. Above, the first sizable shorts are 9% away: $23.1M at 2,470 to 2,480.
HYPE (87.8): yesterday was about sellers. Large trades were net sellers of $14.8M, 41% of large-trade volume. Between 08:16 and 08:36 UTC, three longs were liquidated at 86.5 to 87.3, $2.28M in total; the low was 86.24. Blockchain News, citing Lookonchain, reported that two whales sold $108.8M of HYPE the day before. Funding fell from 62% to 33% annualized, still positive. Below, $31.7M of longs liquidate between 83.5 and 84: 0x9546…181c $19.0M at 83.56, and 0x7345…b404 $11.0M. No short liquidations within 12% above.
SOL (95.4): 95.08 to 96.35 all day. Open interest rose 6.5%, but large trades were net sellers of $5.1M.
Our calls for today
Same rules: we call it today, score it tomorrow, right or wrong. Prices as of 02:40 UTC.
Bitcoin (77,700): stays between 76,694 and 78,105 for 24 hours. In other words, neither 0x4b62 nor 0xb15b gets liquidated today.
- Why: it's the weekend. Yesterday's range was 0.9%, only $8.4M was liquidated market-wide, and open interest fell 5%. Big traders are leaving, not pushing.
- Against: the range is only 1.8% wide. Binance reopens withdrawals today, and when that money moves, price may move with it.
HYPE (87.8): touches 84 before Monday's close, into 0x9546's liquidation band.
- Why: large trades keep selling, there are no shorts above to squeeze, and longs are still paying 33% funding.
- Against: 0x9546 is in profit with a thick margin, and the whales may have finished selling.
Still open: ETH (2,180 to 2,300 through Sunday), Binance (withdrawals before 12:00 UTC Sunday), Intel perp (no 70 before Monday's US close), SOL (no daily close above 100 before Monday).
Live liquidation maps: BTC · ETH · HYPE · SOL. Tap 🔔 next to a wallet's name to get a Telegram alert when it moves.
Data: Hyperliquid on-chain trades, liquidations, positions and account ledger, compiled by CryptoAnimon. "Yesterday" = Oct 31, 2026 (UTC). Positions, liquidation prices and prices as of about 02:40 UTC on Nov 1. Large trades = taker trades of $100K or more, excluding market makers and liquidation backstops. Scoring uses highs and lows from 04:00 UTC Oct 31 to 02:40 UTC Nov 1. Binance figures as reported by Crypto Briefing; HYPE whale sales as reported by Blockchain News citing Lookonchain.
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