A 40x Bitcoin short is 0.1% from liquidation, a $42M short just opened, and $135M of HYPE longs break near 75
Scoring our last calls
These are the calls from our Nov 1 analysis, scored through 05:00 UTC today.
| Call | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin stays between 76,694 and 78,105 for 24 hours | High of 78,410 on Nov 1. Out the top. | ✗ |
| HYPE touches 84 before Monday's close | Low of 82.79 on Monday. | ✓ |
| ETH stays between 2,180 and 2,300 through Sunday | 2,248 to 2,277 on Sunday. | ✓ |
| Binance reopens withdrawals before 12:00 UTC Sunday | Open by 06:00 UTC, according to CNBC. | ✓ |
| Intel perp: no trade at 70 or above before Monday's US close | High of 66.93. | ✓ |
| SOL: no daily close above 100 before Monday's close | 94.49 and 91.95. | ✓ |
5 of 6. The miss was the narrow one: Bitcoin's 1.8% range lasted less than a day.
Yesterday in one line
Bitcoin rose 0.82% to 77,435, ETH rose 0.97% to 2,274, HYPE rose 1.28% to 85.08 after a 6.6% range, and SOL rose 0.95% to 92.82. $31.6M was liquidated: $20.0M of longs and $11.6M of shorts. Large trades were net sellers of $89.3M of Bitcoin, 15% of large-trade volume. Today Bitcoin has already been as low as 75,687.
0x4b62: 40x short, 0.1% from the line
0x4b62…57ca, the 40x wallet we've followed for over a week, was long on Nov 1. Now it's short from 75,878, down $230K. At 04:47 UTC, with Bitcoin near 77,088, it closed part of the position, taking it from $16.7M to $13.4M and moving liquidation up from 77,072 to 77,302. Bitcoin is at 77,220, 0.1% below.
The account has shrunk from about $600K on Nov 1 to $180K.
0x1367 opened $42M of Bitcoin shorts
0x1367…560e was yesterday's biggest new position: $42M of Bitcoin shorts at 77,703 and $11.5M of ETH shorts at 2,291. It's up about $470K. Its Bitcoin liquidation is far away, at 83,881.
0xf081 is rotating out of Bitcoin
0xf081…e39e held a 30x Bitcoin long of $75.8M on Nov 1. It now holds $12.0M. The money went elsewhere:
- ETH: 15x long $33.1M from 2,259, liquidation 2,152.
- HYPE: 10x long $19.6M from 84.28, liquidation 75.14.
- ZEC: 10x long $10.4M, liquidation 1,104.
Bitcoin: where they break
- Above: 0x2a8a…ca60 $8.3M at 77,894, and 0x54c5…9558 $19.9M at 79,265, both 40x.
- Below: 0x95fe…f8fa $15.5M at 74,981, and 0xf081's $12.0M at 74,685. About $27.5M breaks just under 75,000.
ETH, HYPE, SOL
ETH (2,275): 0xf081's $33.1M at 2,152 and 0x984e…14c2's $11.5M at 2,156 sit together. That's $44.6M about 5% below.
HYPE (83.46): 0x082e…ca88 is long $115.1M at 5x from 38.68, up $61.7M, with liquidation at 74.67. With 0xf081's 75.14, that's $134.7M near 75, about 10% below. Above, there's almost nothing: $7K of short liquidations within 12%. Also on HYPE today: 6,058 wallets are already inside Elysium, five days before its official launch.
SOL (92.18): quiet. Only about $1M of longs liquidate within 5% below, and about $500K of shorts within 5% above.
Our calls for today
Same rules: we call it today, score it after, right or wrong. Prices as of about 05:00 UTC.
Bitcoin (77,220): touches 75,000 before 79,265, by Friday's close.
- Why: large trades sold $89.3M yesterday, a new $42M short is in profit, and the biggest long in this group is leaving.
- Against: funding is still positive, and US midterm results are still coming in, which could move everything.
ETH (2,275): no trade below 2,156 through Friday. The $44.6M stays alive.
- Why: 0xf081 just bought in, and ETH has held 2,225 through this week's selling.
- Against: 0x1367 is short, and if Bitcoin hits 75,000, ETH likely follows.
HYPE (83.46): no trade below 75 before Elysium's launch on Nov 9.
- Why: 0x082e has held through every dip, and a launch is a reason to buy.
- Against: 10% isn't far for HYPE. It had a 6.6% range yesterday alone.
SOL (92.18): stays between 88 and 96 through Friday.
- Why: no big positions nearby to force a move.
- Against: it just followed Bitcoin down this week, and 75,000 on Bitcoin would likely break 88.
Live liquidation maps: BTC · ETH · HYPE · SOL. Tap 🔔 next to a wallet's name to get a Telegram alert when it moves.
Data: Hyperliquid on-chain trades, liquidations and positions, compiled by CryptoAnimon. "Yesterday" = Nov 3, 2026 (UTC). Positions and prices as of about 05:00 UTC on Nov 4. Large trades = taker trades of $100K or more, excluding market makers and liquidation backstops. Binance timing as reported by CNBC.
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